EU-CRIEuropean Compute Rental Index

A daily, open reference price for renting AI compute in Europe

EU-CRI-H100 is a methodology-transparent index for one H100-class GPU-hour delivered from a data centre in the EU/EEA. Every parameter is a published config value, every observation is stored and auditable, and a gap is published rather than a fabricated print. Built and administered in the open by Mark Rusch.

EU-CRI-H100 headline series
Daily print, EU-CRI-H100 (USD/GPU-hour). History builds one point per publication day — short history in the first weeks is disclosed, not smoothed over.
Constituent price dispersion
Every constituent price behind the latest print, for the same reference unit (H100 SXM 80GB, on-demand, 8-GPU node, EU/EEA). The spread between cheapest and dearest is the finding.

Methodology, in brief

Unit: one NVIDIA H100 SXM 80GB GPU-hour, on-demand, in an 8-GPU NVLink node, delivered from an EU/EEA data centre, excluding storage and egress.

Aggregation: representative price per provider (minimum executable ask, else list price) → winsorised at the 5th/95th percentile → weighted median, weights set by a fixed, data-driven formula reviewed weekly, capped so no single venue can move the print more than 25%.

Publication gate: fewer than five qualifying providers → no value is published, the print is flagged. A gap is credible; a fabricated print is not.

Governance: built on the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks (2013) as voluntary best practice — versioned methodology, immutable observations, a public correction policy, and a full constituent-level audit trail for every print.

Why this exists

Compute is becoming a traded commodity — CME Group and Silicon Data announced the first cash-settled H100 futures market in May 2026, and Kalshi now publishes compute forward curves. Both are priced off US-centric benchmarks. No published, methodology-open reference price exists for compute delivered in Europe — despite the EU committing roughly €20bn to AI gigafactories, European lenders financing GPU-backed debt with no market mark, and Dutch/EU data-centre buyers signing power contracts against unhedged compute revenue. EU-CRI is a research attempt to close that specific gap, built in the open so every reader can check the arithmetic.

Weekly commentary on Substack

Index reads, dispersion analysis, and the European compute-risk thesis — every 2–3 weeks.

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